Boston College
W-L: (17-19) PR = 94.8409Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 920 H Stonehill WHA (18-20, 93.7) 5- 2 925 A Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 1- 7 926 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 4- 4 926 A Saint Anselm WHA (19-21, 93.9) 2- 3 926 A Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 0- 1 1004 A Saint Anselm WHA (19-21, 93.9) 4- 1 1010 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 4- 2 1011 A Providence (12-25, 94.0) 5- 1 1017 A Cornell AC (20-12, 96.8) 0- 3 1018 A Cornell AC (20-12, 96.8) 2- 4 1025 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 2- 1 1025 A Sacred Heart WHA (14-27, 93.4) 0- 6 1031 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 3- 4 1101 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 1107 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 1- 3 1108 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 2- 1 1113 H Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 5- 2 1114 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 3- 2 1122 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 4- 0 1128 H St. Lawrence AC (12-21, 95.3) 3- 2 1129 H St. Lawrence AC (12-21, 95.3) 2- 4 1205 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 1- 3 1206 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 4 103 H Colgate AC (19-15, 96.1) 0- 3 109 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 1- 3 116 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 8- 2 120 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 3- 3 123 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 4- 1 124 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 2- 6 130 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 3- 4 201 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 5- 4 206 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 4- 3 206 A Assumption WHA (19-18, 93.9) 1- 6 207 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 2- 6 213 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 1- 2 215 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 1- 0 220 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 5- 2 221 H Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 4- 0 228 H Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
920 H Stonehill 5- 2 3 2 1.48
925 A Minnesota 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.09
926 A Boston University 4- 4 0 0 -0.09
926 A Saint Anselm 2- 3 -1 1 -1.60
1004 A Saint Anselm 4- 1 3 1 + 2.40
1010 H Holy Cross 4- 2 2 0 1.72
1011 A Providence 5- 1 4 0 + 3.53
1017 A Cornell 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.64
1018 A Cornell 2- 4 -2 -2 0.36
1025 A Merrimack 2- 1 1 1 0.01
1025 A Sacred Heart 0- 6 -6 1 --- -7.07
1031 A Vermont 3- 4 -1 0 -0.70
1107 H Connecticut 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.34
1108 A Connecticut 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.43
1113 H Boston University 5- 2 3 1 + 2.14
1114 A Boston University 3- 2 1 0 0.91
1122 H Merrimack 4- 0 4 2 + 2.24
1128 H St. Lawrence 3- 2 1 0 1.05
1129 H St. Lawrence 2- 4 -2 0 -1.95
1205 H Northeastern 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.61
1206 A Northeastern 2- 4 -2 -2 0.16
103 H Colgate 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.12
109 A Holy Cross 1- 3 -2 0 -1.51
116 H Providence 8- 2 6 1 ++ 4.76
120 A Boston University 3- 3 0 0 -0.09
123 A New Hampshire 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.85
124 H New Hampshire 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.92
130 H Maine 3- 4 -1 1 -1.62
201 H Maine 5- 4 1 1 0.38
206 A Holy Cross 4- 3 1 0 1.49
206 A Assumption 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.55
207 A Connecticut 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.57
213 H Providence 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.24
220 H New Hampshire 5- 2 3 0 + 3.08
221 H Boston University 4- 0 4 1 + 3.14
228 H Vermont 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 A Sacred Heart 0- 6 -6 1 --- -7.07 206 A Assumption 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.55 925 A Minnesota 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.09 103 H Colgate 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.12 124 H New Hampshire 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.92 213 H Providence 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.24 228 H Vermont 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 H Providence 8- 2 6 1 ++ 4.76 1004 A Saint Anselm 4- 1 3 1 + 2.40 1011 A Providence 5- 1 4 0 + 3.53 1108 A Connecticut 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.43 1113 H Boston University 5- 2 3 1 + 2.14 1122 H Merrimack 4- 0 4 2 + 2.24 123 A New Hampshire 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.85 220 H New Hampshire 5- 2 3 0 + 3.08 221 H Boston University 4- 0 4 1 + 3.14 |
Boston College Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Boston College | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Boston College | |
| Lindenwood | Boston College | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boston College | |
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Mercyhurst | |
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| RIT | RIT | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 3) | RIT | |
| Robert Morris | Boston College | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Boston College | |
| Syracuse | Boston College | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Boston College | |
| Brown | Brown | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 3) | Brown | |
| Clarkson | Clarkson | tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 1) | Clarkson | |
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Boston College | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Boston College | |
| Harvard | Harvard | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 4) | Harvard | |
| Princeton | Princeton | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Princeton | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac 6- 1 vs 4- 2 | ||
| RPI | Boston College | Boston College 2- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| St. Lawrence | St. Lawrence | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | St. Lawrence | |
| Union | Boston College | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Boston College | |
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 5- 2) | Yale | |
| Boston University | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Holy Cross | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Maine | Boston College | Boston College 6- 3 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Merrimack | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| New Hampshire | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Northeastern | Northeastern | Northeastern | ||
| Providence | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Franklin Pierce | Boston College | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 2) | Boston College | |
| LIU | Boston College | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Boston College | |
| Post | Boston College | Boston College 4- 2 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | ||
| Saint Anselm | Saint Anselm | Saint Anselm 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| St.Michael's | St.Michael's | St.Michael's | ||
| Stonehill | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Bemidji State | Bemidji State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bemidji State | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Minnesota State | Minnesota State | Minnesota State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| St. Cloud State | St. Cloud State | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | St. Cloud State | |
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin 3- 2 vs 1- 2 |
PowerWise = 17
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.7) 5- 2 -6.19 1.74 -0.39 0.95 2.58
0 A Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 1- 7 -1.54 6.40 0.39 0.95 -0.55
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 4- 4 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.95 203.43
0 A Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.9) 2- 3 -6.04 1.89 0.39 0.95 -2.69
0 A Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 0- 1 -1.54 6.40 0.39 0.95 -0.55
0 A Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.9) 4- 1 -6.04 1.89 0.39 0.95 4.34
0 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 4- 2 -4.95 2.98 -0.39 0.95 4.94
0 A Providence (12-25, 94.0) 5- 1 -5.91 2.02 0.39 0.95 4.58
0 A Cornell (20-12, 96.8) 0- 3 -3.09 4.85 0.39 0.95 -1.29
0 A Cornell (20-12, 96.8) 2- 4 -3.09 4.85 0.39 0.95 -1.29
0 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 2- 1 -6.43 1.50 0.39 0.95 3.59
0 A Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.4) 0- 6 -6.52 1.41 0.39 0.95 -2.92
0 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 3- 4 -5.15 2.78 0.39 0.95 -2.27
0 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 1- 3 -3.01 4.92 -0.39 0.95 -1.62
0 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 2- 1 -3.01 4.92 0.39 0.95 10.11
0 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 5- 2 -5.53 2.40 -0.39 0.95 3.84
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 3- 2 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.95 5.30
0 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 4- 0 -6.43 1.50 -0.39 0.95 2.13
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.3) 3- 2 -4.62 3.31 -0.39 0.95 5.57
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.3) 2- 4 -4.62 3.31 -0.39 0.95 -2.38
0 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.28 4.65 -0.39 0.95 -1.75
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.95 -1.38
0 H Colgate (19-15, 96.1) 0- 3 -3.79 4.14 -0.39 0.95 -1.99
0 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 1- 3 -4.95 2.98 0.39 0.95 -2.17
0 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 8- 2 -5.91 2.02 -0.39 0.95 3.11
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 3- 3 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.95 203.43
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 4- 1 -4.59 3.34 0.39 0.95 7.09
0 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 2- 6 -4.59 3.34 -0.39 0.95 -2.37
0 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 3- 4 -5.29 2.64 -0.39 0.95 -2.70
0 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 5- 4 -5.29 2.64 -0.39 0.95 4.30
0 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 4- 3 -4.95 2.98 0.39 0.95 6.41
0 A Assumption (19-18, 93.9) 1- 6 -6.00 1.94 0.39 0.95 -2.67
0 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 2- 6 -3.01 4.92 0.39 0.95 -1.25
0 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 1- 2 -5.91 2.02 -0.39 0.95 -3.00
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 1- 0 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.95 9.59
0 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 5- 2 -4.59 3.34 -0.39 0.95 5.62
0 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 4- 0 -5.53 2.40 -0.39 0.95 3.84
0 H Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 1- 3 -5.15 2.78 -0.39 0.95 -2.63
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456.34
|
winning pts = 86.9256 losing points = -37.4540
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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